Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Rangers vs Angels – Wednesday, July 09, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to face the Texas Rangers on July 9, 2025, both teams find themselves struggling in the American League West. The Angels sit at 44-47, experiencing a below-average season, while the Rangers are only slightly better at 45-47. The matchup is crucial, as it is the third game in the series and both teams look to gain momentum. In their previous game, the Rangers took a narrow win, which adds pressure on the Angels to even things up.

The Angels will send Kyle Hendricks to the mound, a right-hander who has started 17 games this season, compiling a 5-6 record with a 4.68 ERA. Despite his low Power Rankings position at 227th among starting pitchers, projections suggest he might perform better than his numbers indicate, given his 3.88 xERA, implying he has faced some bad luck. Hendricks is expected to pitch around 5.4 innings, allowing approximately 3.1 earned runs, which could prove costly.

On the other side, the Rangers counter with Kumar Rocker, another right-handed pitcher, who has struggled through 10 starts, with a 3-4 record and an alarming 5.80 ERA. Rocker’s projections also hint that he might improve, especially given his 3.91 xFIP, which suggests potential for better outcomes. However, projecting to allow 2.6 earned runs and 1.6 walks in 4.9 innings won’t inspire confidence among Rangers fans.

Offensively, the Angels rank 22nd in MLB, despite their 5th-ranked home run total, while the Rangers are a disappointing 27th in team batting average. Given these trends, betting markets favor the Rangers slightly, but the Angels’ power potential makes this matchup one to watch closely. The high Game Total at 9.0 runs indicates expectations for a competitive contest.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  With 6 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Kumar Rocker figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Kyle Hendricks’s 85.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.8-mph decline from last season’s 87.5-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Jo Adell has been hot lately, notching 3 home runs in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+100)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Evan Carter has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 38% ROI)