Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Red Sox vs Athletics – Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Boston Red Sox

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Athletics

As the Boston Red Sox prepare to face the Oakland Athletics on September 10, 2025, they enter this matchup having recently shut out the Athletics 6-0 in their last game. The Red Sox hold a favorable record of 81-65, reflecting their solid performance this season, while the Athletics sit at 66-80, struggling to find consistency and overall success.

The projections indicate that the Athletics boast a strong offensive lineup, currently ranked 7th in MLB and 4th in batting average, which could pose problems for Boston’s struggling pitcher, Tolle. He is projected to pitch just 4.5 innings today and has been inconsistent, with an ERA of 7.56 and a troubling last outing where he allowed five earned runs over three innings. Conversely, Mason Barnett of the Athletics presents a mixed bag. While he has a poor ERA of 9.00 and is ranked as the 225th best starting pitcher in MLB, his xFIP suggests he might be due for some positive regression. He’s projected to pitch 5.0 innings while allowing 2.7 earned runs.

Offensively, the Red Sox stand strong with a ranking of 8th overall, bolstered by their 5th place standing in batting average. Their best hitter has been performing well, showing a recent surge with a .474 batting average over the past week. Meanwhile, the Athletics have the potential to capitalize on Tolle’s flyball tendencies, as their power-hitting prowess has resulted in 199 home runs this season, ranking 5th in the league.

With a game total set at 10.5 runs, sportsbooks view this as a high-scoring affair. The current lines place the Athletics at +100, suggesting a close contest is anticipated, but with the Red Sox’s strong offensive capabilities and better overall season, they might just hold the edge in this competitive matchup.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Masataka Yoshida – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
  Masataka Yoshida is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Sacramento (#3-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Boston Red Sox today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .310, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .325 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Athletics Insights

• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
  Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen projects as the 7th-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Moneyline (-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 85 games (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-110)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+16.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• Trevor Story – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+390/-600)
  Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)