Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Braves vs Padres – Friday, March 28, 2025

Atlanta Braves

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San Diego Padres

As the San Diego Padres prepare to host the Atlanta Braves on March 28, 2025, the stakes are high following the Padres’ commanding 7-0 victory in the previous game of this series, which showcased their potent offense. Currently, the Padres sit at the top of the National League West with a 1-0 record, demonstrating strong early-season performance. In contrast, the Braves are struggling, starting the season at 0-1 and looking to turn things around.

On the mound, the Padres are projected to start Dylan Cease, who ranks as the 18th best starting pitcher in MLB, according to the leading MLB projection system. Although Cease projects to pitch 4.9 innings, which is less than ideal, his ability to limit earned runs is promising, projected at just 1.9 today. However, he must improve on his projections of 3.7 hits and 1.8 walks allowed, as these could be detrimental against a Braves lineup that, despite its struggles, has shown power, ranking 4th in home runs this season.

The Braves will counter with Reynaldo Lopez, who comes in with a slightly lower ranking at 88th among pitchers. Lopez’s projections indicate he may pitch 4.8 innings while allowing 2.3 earned runs. However, his struggles also include a projected 4.5 hits and 1.7 walks, which could be exploited by a Padres offense that ranks 6th overall and 2nd in batting average in MLB.

With the Game Total set at a low 7.5 runs, the Padres are favored with a moneyline of -140. Their strong bullpen, ranked 2nd in the league, adds an extra layer of confidence as they look to capitalize on their early-season momentum against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Reynaldo Lopez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Reynaldo Lopez in the 90th percentile among all starters in the game.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+115)
  The 5th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Luis Arraez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+195)
  When it comes to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• San Diego Padres – 2H Moneyline
  The San Diego Padres bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-135)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 71 games (+17.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 96 of their last 155 games (+36.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700/-1600)
  Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in his last game (+7.50 Units / 750% ROI)