Get Insights on the Score Prediction for Giants vs Dodgers Match – Saturday, September 20, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face the San Francisco Giants on September 20, 2025, they find themselves in a strong position. With an 87-67 record, the Dodgers are enjoying a solid season and currently sit atop the National League West standings. In contrast, the Giants are languishing at 76-78, marking an average season that has them looking to rebuild for the future.

In their last matchup, the Dodgers showcased their dominance with a convincing victory over the Giants. Tyler Glasnow, projected to start for Los Angeles, has been a key part of their success despite a mixed win/loss record of 3-3. His 3.06 ERA indicates he has been effective, although his 3.75 xFIP suggests he could face some regression. Glasnow’s ability to strike out an average of 7.3 batters per game will be crucial against a Giants offense that ranks just 21st in MLB, struggling significantly in terms of batting average and overall production.

On the other side, Kai-Wei Teng takes the mound for San Francisco, and his numbers tell a different story. With a 6.41 ERA and a 2-4 record over 7 starts, he has struggled to find consistency. Teng’s high walk rate of 12.1% could be problematic against a patient Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB for drawing walks. The projections imply that the Dodgers’ offensive firepower will likely exploit Teng’s control issues, which could lead to a high-scoring affair.

With a Game Total set at 8.5 runs, bettors might find value in considering the Dodgers’ high implied team total of 5.07 runs, given their potent lineup and the struggling Giants pitching. As the Dodgers look to maintain their momentum, they aim to capitalize on their advantages and secure another win in this pivotal matchup.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Kai-Wei Teng – Over/Under 12.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  Compared to the average pitcher, Kai-Wei Teng has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an -17.3 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.1-mph over the past 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Tyler Glasnow has relied on his sinker 11.6% more often this year (20.3%) than he did last year (8.7%).
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
  As it relates to his batting average, Tommy Edman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .226 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-265)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Patrick Bailey – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+800/-1900)
  Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+26.00 Units / 260% ROI)