Get Expert Player Predictions for Orioles vs Athletics – Friday June 6, 2025

Baltimore Orioles

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Athletics

On June 6, 2025, the Oakland Athletics will host the Baltimore Orioles at Sutter Health Park for the first game of their series. Both teams have struggled this season, with the Athletics holding a record of 24-40 and the Orioles at 25-36. The Athletics are coming off a notable victory, having won their last game against the Texas Rangers decisively with a score of 14-3, while the Orioles edged out the New York Yankees 4-3 in their last outing.

In this matchup, the Athletics are projected to start JP Sears, a left-handed pitcher who has had a rocky season with a 4-5 record and a 5.05 ERA. However, advanced projections suggest that he may have been unlucky, as his 4.37 SIERA indicates potential for improvement. On the other side, Dean Kremer, the Orioles’ right-handed starter, has a 5-5 record and a more respectable 4.70 ERA. His projections also suggest he might be due for better results, with a 4.20 xERA.

Offensively, the Athletics boast one of the best lineups in the league, ranking 5th in MLB for team batting average and 7th in home runs. This offensive prowess could be crucial against Kremer, who has been inconsistent. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 21st in overall offense and 22nd in batting average, which may hinder their ability to capitalize on Sears’s struggles.

With the Athletics projected to have a high implied team total of 5.00 runs and the Orioles at 5.50, this game could see plenty of scoring. As both teams aim to turn around their seasons, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking to capitalize on the Athletics’ offensive potential against a middling Orioles pitching staff.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Dean Kremer – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  Recording 92.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Dean Kremer falls in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Colton Cowser is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics Insights

• JP Sears – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  JP Sears’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (58% vs. 53% last season) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Jacob Wilson has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Athletics in this game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .324 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• Dylan Carlson – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+580/-1100)
  Dylan Carlson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)