Get Expert Player Predictions for Giants vs Athletics – Sunday July 6, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Athletics

On July 6, 2025, the Oakland Athletics will host the San Francisco Giants in what is shaping up to be an intriguing interleague matchup at Sutter Health Park. The Giants are coming off a convincing 7-2 victory over the Athletics just a day prior, which saw them capitalize on the Athletics’ struggles this season. With a record of 37-54, Oakland is not in contention, while San Francisco holds a more respectable 48-42, putting them in a better position as they navigate the season.

The Athletics are projected to start Jacob Lopez, a left-handed pitcher with an average ERA of 3.88. However, he has struggled lately, projecting to pitch only 4.8 innings and allowing 2.7 earned runs today, which could spell trouble for Oakland. Lopez’s last start was abbreviated, going just 3 innings and giving up 3 earned runs. In contrast, the Giants are set to send Hayden Birdsong to the mound, who has had a rocky season but managed to pitch decently in his last outing. Birdsong’s ERA sits at 4.30, and while he has not been particularly effective, he offers a chance for San Francisco to keep the game competitive.

Offensively, the Athletics rank 12th in MLB, with their best hitter performing well lately, boasting a .400 batting average over the past week. On the other hand, the Giants’ offense ranks 24th in MLB and has struggled significantly, particularly in terms of power, hitting just 83 home runs this season, which ranks 6th least in the league. This matchup presents an opportunity for Oakland to leverage their stronger offense against a Giants lineup that has not been able to generate consistent runs.

Betting markets are indicating that this will be a close contest, with the Athletics having a slightly higher implied total of 5.12 runs compared to the Giants’ 4.88. Given the Athletics’ average offensive performance and the potential for Lopez to turn things around, this game could see them pull off a much-needed win.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Hayden Birdsong – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Hayden Birdsong (37.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento’s projected batting order.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Tyler Fitzgerald’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 84.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen ranks as the 6th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  The San Francisco Giants have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Birdsong.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Denzel Clarke – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Denzel Clarke hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-125/-105)
  Nick Kurtz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+6.80 Units / 38% ROI)