Get Expert Player Predictions for Giants vs Athletics – Sunday July 6, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Athletics

As the Oakland Athletics prepare to host the San Francisco Giants on July 6, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the standings. The Athletics sit at 37-54, reflecting a challenging season, while the Giants boast a respectable 48-42 record. This Interleague matchup marks the third game of the series, with the Athletics looking to turn their fortunes around after a tough outing in their last game.

In the previous contest, the Giants managed to secure a win, which adds a layer of urgency for the Athletics as they aim to even the series. Oakland will send Jacob Lopez to the mound, who, despite having an average season with a 2-4 record and a solid ERA of 3.88, faces challenges. Lopez is projected to pitch 4.8 innings today, allowing 2.7 earned runs and striking out 5.1 batters on average. His high flyball percentage may work in his favor against a Giants offense that struggles with power, hitting just 83 home runs this year, ranking them 6th lowest in MLB.

On the other side, San Francisco will counter with Hayden Birdsong, who has been less effective this season. Birdsong’s ERA sits at 4.30, and he’s considered one of the weaker pitchers in MLB. The projections suggest he will also pitch around 4.8 innings but with slightly worse expected outcomes than Lopez.

Offensively, the Athletics rank 13th in the league, showing average talent despite their disappointing record. Their best hitter has been performing well recently, hitting .400 over the last week with 8 hits and 2 home runs. Conversely, the Giants’ offense is struggling, ranked 24th overall and 25th in batting average.

With a high Game Total set at 10.0 runs and the Athletics having a favorable implied team total of 5.06 runs, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for Oakland to capitalize on their home-field advantage against a faltering San Francisco lineup.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Hayden Birdsong – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Hayden Birdsong (37.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento’s projected batting order.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Tyler Fitzgerald’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 84.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  The San Francisco Giants have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Birdsong.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Denzel Clarke – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Denzel Clarke hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)