Get Expert Player Predictions for Angels vs Mets – Wednesday July 23, 2025

Los Angeles Angels

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New York Mets

As the New York Mets prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels at Citi Field on July 23, 2025, they come off a narrow victory against the Angels, edging them 3-2 the previous day. The Mets, currently sitting at 59-44, are having a solid season and are expected to continue their momentum against a struggling Angels team with a record of 49-53.

The matchup features two left-handed pitchers, with Sean Manaea projected to start for the Mets and Brock Burke for the Angels. Despite Manaea’s average ranking as the 117th best starting pitcher in MLB, his impressive 2.45 ERA and a high strikeout rate of 41.9% suggest a potential upside, especially against a high-strikeout Angels offense that ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts. However, it’s worth noting that Manaea’s flyball tendencies could be troubling, given the Angels’ powerful offense that ranks 4th in home runs with 148 this season.

On the offensive side, the Mets’ batting ranks 12th overall but struggles in terms of batting average, sitting at 21st. However, their power is solid, ranking 8th in home runs. Conversely, the Angels boast a better overall ranking at 16th, though they suffer from a low batting average (24th) and a very poor performance in stolen bases (28th).

With the Mets favored at -175 and an implied team total of 5.07 runs, they have the support of bettors and the projections, making them a compelling choice for today’s contest. As they look to capitalize on their home advantage, expect a competitive game as both teams battle for supremacy in this interleague matchup.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+135)
  The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Brock Burke today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Jorge Soler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels’ bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst among all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Mets Insights

• Sean Manaea – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Sean Manaea’s 2016-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 1st percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Pete Alonso – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Pete Alonso has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-135)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 45 of their last 71 games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (-115/-115)
  Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 47% ROI)