Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
(-110/-110)-140
As the Cleveland Guardians prepare to face off against the Minnesota Twins on September 17, 2024, the stakes remain high despite the Twins being out of contention for the division title. The Guardians currently hold a solid record of 87-64, while the Twins sit at 79-71. The Guardians are riding a wave of momentum after edging the Twins 4-3 in their last matchup on September 16, showcasing their ability to win close games.
On the mound, Cleveland is set to start Gavin Williams, who, despite a challenging season reflected in his 3-9 record and a 5.23 ERA, is projected to strike out 6.1 batters while allowing an average of 2.3 earned runs. His xFIP of 4.20 suggests he may be due for better luck moving forward. In contrast, Minnesota’s Zebby Matthews has struggled with a 7.11 ERA and a 1-3 record, making him a concern for the Twins as they rely on him to keep the game competitive.
Offensively, the Guardians rank 17th overall but have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their power numbers, ranking 13th in home runs. Jose Ramirez continues to lead the charge with impressive stats, including 35 home runs and 39 stolen bases. Meanwhile, the Twins boast a stronger overall offense, ranking 10th in the league, but have been less effective on the base paths, ranking 28th in stolen bases.
According to the leading MLB projection system, the Guardians are favored in this matchup with a projected win probability of 57%. With a strong bullpen ranked 4th in the league, Cleveland has the tools to secure another victory over Minnesota, especially if Williams can harness his potential and deliver a solid performance.
Betting Trends
- Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-140)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 87 of their last 151 games (+12.22 Units / 6% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Matt Wallner – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)