Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
(-110/-110)+200
As the Chicago White Sox host the Detroit Tigers on August 24, 2024, both teams are looking to make a statement in this American League Central matchup. The Tigers currently sit at 63-66, having won yesterday’s game against the White Sox by a score of 5-2, while the White Sox are struggling with a disappointing record of 31-98 this season.
The matchup features a stark contrast on the mound. The White Sox are set to start Ky Bush, who has struggled this year. Despite a respectable ERA of 3.68, his underlying metrics suggest he may be overperforming, as indicated by his xFIP of 7.24. Bush’s projections for this game are concerning, as he is expected to pitch only 4.8 innings while allowing around 2.8 earned runs, striking out just 3.8 batters on average. In contrast, the Tigers will counter with the elite Tarik Skubal, ranked 1st among MLB pitchers, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.49 and a solid win-loss record of 14-4. Skubal is projected to pitch 5.7 innings while allowing only 2.0 earned runs and striking out 7.1 batters.
Offensively, both teams have been underwhelming this season, with the White Sox ranking 30th in MLB offensive metrics, including team batting average. The Tigers aren’t much better, sitting at 26th overall. However, recent performances show that the Tigers have a slight edge, especially with players like Riley Greene contributing significantly.
The projections suggest the Tigers are favored to score around 5.19 runs, while the White Sox are only expected to muster about 3.56 runs. With the White Sox’s recent struggles and their poor rankings across the board, it appears the Tigers have the advantage heading into this matchup.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Detroit’s 88.4-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #22 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Chicago White Sox will record 3.44 runs on average in this matchup: the 3rd-least of all teams playing today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 games (+7.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Detroit Tigers – Run Line -1.5 (-140)The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 42 games (+17.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)