Find the Top Picks: Player Prop Picks for Dodgers vs Rockies – 6/25/25

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies host the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 25, 2025, they find themselves in the midst of a disappointing season, sitting at 18-61. The Rockies are coming off a loss to the Dodgers, who edged them 9-7 in their previous matchup on June 24. In stark contrast, the Dodgers are thriving with a record of 49-31, boasting the top offense in MLB, leading in both batting average and home runs.

The Rockies will send Chase Dollander to the mound, a right-handed pitcher who has struggled this season with a 2-7 record and a 6.19 ERA, ranking him as the 181st best starting pitcher in MLB per advanced-stat Power Rankings. While Dollander’s xFIP suggests he’s been unlucky, his overall performance has largely fallen short. He projects to pitch just 4.3 innings today, allowing an average of 3.4 earned runs, which could spell trouble for a Rockies offense that ranks 25th in MLB.

On the other hand, the Dodgers will counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto, an elite right-handed pitcher with a 2.76 ERA, ranking 8th in MLB. Yamamoto has the advantage of facing a Rockies lineup that strikes out more than any other team, making his high strikeout capability a significant factor. His projections for today include 5.6 innings pitched with an average of 2.8 earned runs allowed, which keeps him in a favorable position against Colorado’s struggling bats.

With the Rockies listed as massive underdogs at +260, and the Dodgers at -310, the Dodgers find themselves heavily favored to secure a victory once again. The Game Total set at 11.0 runs indicates expectations for offensive fireworks, particularly from the Dodgers, who have an implied team total of nearly 7 runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Yoshinobu Yamamoto has relied on his curveball 5.5% less often this year (17.7%) than he did last year (23.2%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  Max Muncy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Los Angeles’s 90-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in MLB: #4 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Chase Dollander’s 96.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 98th percentile out of all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Hunter Goodman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+7.02 Units / 8% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+145/-190)
  Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)