Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Royals vs Red Sox – Wednesday August 06, 2025

Kansas City Royals

@

Boston Red Sox

As the Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals on August 6, 2025, both teams are looking to build momentum in their series. The Red Sox, currently 64-51, hold a solid position and are enjoying a strong season, while the Royals sit at 56-58, reflecting an average performance. In their last matchup, the Red Sox emerged victorious, further solidifying their standing in the American League.

On the mound, the Red Sox are set to start right-hander Dustin May, who has had a rollercoaster season with a 6-7 record and a 4.85 ERA. Even though May has struggled, he has a favorable matchup against a Royals offense that ranks 26th in the league. May’s 4.34 xFIP suggests he could be due for an upswing, especially against a lineup that has shown patience issues, ranking last in walks taken.

Opposing him is Kansas City’s Michael Wacha, also a right-hander, whose season has been better statistically with a 5-9 record and an impressive 3.38 ERA. However, the projections indicate that Wacha might be overperforming, as his xFIP of 4.42 points to potential regression. He faces a Red Sox offense that ranks 6th overall and 5th in team batting average, indicating they have the tools to capitalize on any mistakes.

With the game total set at a high 9.0 runs, betting lines reflect confidence in Boston’s offensive firepower, currently favored at -145. The Red Sox’s potent lineup, featuring their best hitter batting .500 over the last week, could exploit Wacha’s vulnerabilities, making this matchup one to watch as they look to extend their winning streak.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Michael Wacha – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Michael Wacha’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last season (93.6 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• John Rave – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  John Rave is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Boston (#3-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Kansas City Royals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Kansas City Royals’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Dustin May – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dustin May to throw 81 pitches today (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-145)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games at home (+16.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-145)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 90 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Roman Anthony – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-150/+115)
  Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 63% ROI)