Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
(-115/-105)-155
As the St. Louis Cardinals host the Pittsburgh Pirates on September 17, 2024, both teams are looking to make a mark in this National League Central matchup. The Cardinals currently sit at .500 with a record of 75-75, while the Pirates are struggling at 71-79, showcasing an average season for the Cardinals and a below-average performance from the Pirates. In their last game, the Cardinals shut out the Pirates 4-0, which could give St. Louis a psychological edge heading into this contest.
Lance Lynn, projected to start for the Cardinals, has had a mixed season, ranking as the 142nd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. However, his 3.96 ERA indicates he has been effective, and he pitched well in his last start, allowing just 1 earned run over 5 innings. The projections suggest he will pitch around 5.4 innings today, allowing approximately 2.3 earned runs, which could bode well against a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league.
On the other side, Bailey Falter is expected to take the mound for the Pirates. While he has a slightly better ERA of 4.20, his underlying metrics indicate that he may be due for regression. Falter has struggled with consistency, projecting to pitch just 4.8 innings while allowing around 2.6 earned runs.
With the Cardinals’ offense ranked 19th overall but showing signs of life, they are favored in this matchup with a current moneyline of -150. The projections indicate that St. Louis is likely to score around 4.53 runs, compared to the Pirates’ low average of 4.02 runs. Given the Cardinals’ recent success and the struggles of the Pirates, this game has the potential for St. Louis to continue their winning ways.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line +1.5 (-165)The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 64 of their last 119 games (+7.32 Units / 5% ROI)
- Joey Bart – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)