Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Cardinals vs White Sox – Wednesday June 18, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Chicago White Sox

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Vasil.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Austin Slater – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
  Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan Noda, Michael A. Taylor, Austin Slater).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.5 (-130)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Run Line -1.5 (+110)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+175/-230)
  Andrew Benintendi has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)