Find Out the Winning Probability and Team Stats for Tigers vs Nationals Match – 7/01/25

Detroit Tigers

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Washington Nationals

As the Washington Nationals prepare to face the Detroit Tigers on July 1, 2025, the stakes remain high despite neither team contending for their division titles. The Nationals hold a disappointing record of 35-49, while the Tigers boast a strong 53-32 mark, positioning them among the league’s top contenders.

In their previous game, the Tigers showcased their offensive prowess with a powerful display, securing a victory that highlighted their 5th best ranking in MLB offense. Meanwhile, the Nationals are struggling, ranked 20th in offensive production, which raises concerns about their ability to keep pace.

On the mound, Trevor Williams is projected to take the ball for Washington. Williams has started 16 games this season, with a troubling 3-9 record and an ERA of 5.65, placing him among the lower tier of pitchers in MLB rankings. His projections indicate he will struggle to go deep into the game, averaging 5.0 innings pitched while allowing 2.8 earned runs. However, his xFIP suggests he might improve given his bad luck this year.

Opposing him will be Jack Flaherty, who has also started 16 games but carries a much better profile. With a 5-9 record and an ERA of 4.80, Flaherty ranks as the 79th best starter in MLB and brings a high strikeout rate of 28.3%. He is expected to pitch 5.6 innings, allowing around 2.9 earned runs, although he has his own issues with walks, averaging 1.6 per game.

Given the disparity in their offensive capabilities and Flaherty’s potential to exploit a low-strikeout Nationals lineup, the Tigers appear well-positioned to secure another win in this interleague matchup. With a Game Total set at a high 9.5 runs, bettors should expect a lively contest at Nationals Park.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• The 10.2% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers ranks them as the #6 team in the league this year by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• Daylen Lile – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)