Find Out the Winning Probability and Team Stats for Athletics vs Blue Jays Match – 6/01/25

Athletics

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Toronto Blue Jays

On June 1, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will face off against the Oakland Athletics at Rogers Centre in what is the fourth game of their series. The Blue Jays, currently holding a record of 30-28, are enjoying an above-average season, while the Athletics sit at a disappointing 23-36. Just yesterday, the Blue Jays pulled off an exciting 8-7 victory over the Athletics, showcasing their offensive capabilities.

Toronto’s offense ranks 14th overall in MLB, with a solid 10th place in team batting average this season. Their best hitter has been productive, recording 32 RBIs while maintaining a .279 batting average. The Blue Jays are betting favorites with a moneyline of -245, reflecting their strong performance and recent victory.

On the mound, Kevin Gausman is projected to start for the Blue Jays. Gausman has had a decent season with a 5-4 record and a solid 3.68 ERA. He pitched exceptionally well in his last start on May 26, going a complete game with only one earned run allowed. His projection of pitching 6.1 innings today, combined with an average of 2.7 earned runs allowed, should give the Blue Jays a significant edge against Oakland’s struggling offense.

The Athletics will counter with JP Sears, who has been one of the league’s worst pitchers this season. Sears carries a 4-5 record and a troubling 5.18 ERA, compounded by a disastrous last outing where he allowed nine earned runs in just three innings. With a low strikeout rate and a Blue Jays lineup that rarely strikes out, Sears may find the going tough.

Overall, given the Blue Jays’ offensive strength and Gausman’s recent performances, Toronto appears well-positioned to extend their winning streak against an underwhelming Athletics team.

Athletics Insights

• JP Sears – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  JP Sears’s 2020-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 2nd percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Toronto’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Brent Rooker, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen projects as the 8th-worst in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-235)
  Kevin Gausman is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #2 HR venue among all major league stadiums in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Addison Barger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (-110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-150/+120)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 2.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)