Find Out the Angels vs Orioles Score Prediction and Game Analysis – 6/14/25

Los Angeles Angels

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Baltimore Orioles

On June 14, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Angels in the second game of their series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Both teams are underwhelming in the standings, with the Orioles sitting at 28-40 and the Angels at 33-35. In their last outing on June 13, the Orioles showcased a strong performance, shutting out the Angels 2-0.

This matchup features two struggling pitchers. Baltimore’s Tomoyuki Sugano, while having a solid ERA of 3.23 this season, ranks as the 247th best starter in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. His xFIP (4.29) suggests he may be living on borrowed time, as he is projected to give up 3.2 earned runs over an average of 5.3 innings today. On the other hand, Tyler Anderson of the Angels sports a 3.99 ERA, but his xFIP of 5.05 indicates he could also be due for a downturn. Anderson is also projected to pitch around 5.1 innings, allowing an average of 3.3 earned runs.

When considering offensive performance, the Orioles rank 18th overall, while the Angels sit at 23rd. Baltimore’s lineup is average with power, ranking 13th in home runs, but has struggled with a poor batting average, sitting 21st. Conversely, the Angels are potent in home runs (5th in MLB) but have disappointed at the plate with a 27th ranking in batting average.

Interestingly, advanced-stat projections favor the Orioles, indicating they could outperform their current expectations. While both teams face challenges, Sugano’s matchup against the high-strikeout Angels offense could provide Baltimore an edge, especially after their recent shutout victory. With the Orioles as the betting favorites at -155 and an implied team total of 4.94 runs, this game shapes up to be an intriguing battle as they look to build on their recent win.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Tyler Anderson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Tyler Anderson’s 88.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.3-mph fall off from last season’s 89.5-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels’ bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)
  Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #4 HR venue in the league — today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+175)
  Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Coby Mayo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+130)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+11.35 Units / 81% ROI)
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)