Explore the Game Breakdown: Twins vs Angels Team Stats and Insights – 9/10/2025

Minnesota Twins

@

Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Minnesota Twins on September 10, 2025, the stakes remain low in terms of playoff contention for both teams, with the Angels sitting at 68-77 and the Twins at 64-81. However, the Angels will look to build on their recent momentum after dominating the Twins 12-2 in their last matchup, showcasing their power with multiple home runs.

Jose Urena takes the mound for the Angels, carrying the dubious distinction of being ranked the 305th best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball according to the leading MLB projection system. Urena’s unremarkable statistics include a 0-1 record over 5 starts and a 4.39 ERA, underscored by a concerning projection that suggests he will pitch an average of just 4.5 innings today while allowing 2.7 earned runs. In his last outing on August 21, Urena faced a rough outing, giving up 6 earned runs on 7 hits.

In contrast, Taj Bradley is expected to start for the Twins. While he has had an average season and has pitched effectively enough to maintain a 6-7 record with a 4.92 ERA, the projections indicate he could improve his performance moving forward. Bradley is expected to pitch 5.0 innings while allowing a similar 2.7 earned runs, though he could be more effective with an average of 5.3 strikeouts.

Offensively, the Angels’ strength lies in their power, ranking 4th in MLB for home runs this season, despite a lackluster 29th ranking in team batting average. The Twins, on the other hand, are an average unit offensively, sitting 19th overall. This could tip the scales in favor of the Angels, especially given their recent form and strong hitting capabilities. With a high game total of 9.0 runs, expect an exciting matchup where the Angels aim to extend their lead in the series.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Taj Bradley – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Taj Bradley’s curveball rate has risen by 5.4% from last season to this one (9% to 14.4%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• James Outman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  James Outman has strong power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (34.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Urena has a pitch-to-contact profile (1st percentile K%) — great news for Outman.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Minnesota Twins – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Minnesota Twins’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Bryce Teodosio – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Bryce Teodosio has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Sebastian Rivero – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sebastian Rivero in the 1st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-150)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 90 games (+14.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)
  Zach Neto has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)