Explore Player Props Preview for Tigers vs White Sox – 6/4/25

Detroit Tigers

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Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox will host the Detroit Tigers on June 4, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling matchup within the American League Central division. Both teams played yesterday, with the White Sox snapping a losing streak by defeating the Tigers 8-1. This marked a significant win for the White Sox, who are struggling this season with a record of 19-42, ranking as one of the worst teams in MLB. In contrast, the Tigers have been performing well, holding a strong record of 40-22.

On the mound, Chicago is set to start Mike Vasil, who despite being ranked just 256th among MLB starters demonstrates effectiveness with an impressive 2.10 ERA this year. However, his 5.20 xFIP indicates he may have benefitted from some good luck. Vasil projects to pitch only 3.0 innings today, allowing an average of 1.4 earned runs, which could be a concern against a potent Tigers offense that ranks 9th in MLB.

Detroit counters with Sawyer Gipson-Long, who, while also struggling by the advanced-stat Power Rankings, projects for a slightly better outing with an average of 4.5 innings pitched and 1.9 earned runs allowed. The Tigers’ offense has been solid overall and carries a high implied team total of 4.64 runs into this game.

The betting lines reflect this disparity, with the White Sox listed as big underdogs at +170, suggesting a win probability of just 36%. However, with a recent turnaround, Chicago’s offense, which ranks 28th in MLB, will aim to capitalize on their last win and surprise the betting community. As both teams collide once again, it will be interesting to see if the White Sox can extend their success or if the Tigers will reclaim dominance in the series.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Colt Keith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Josh Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.2-mph average last year has fallen to 87.3-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Josh Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Joshua Palacios has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-200)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 57 games (+14.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 65% ROI)