Explore Player Props Preview for Rockies vs Dodgers – 9/10/25

Colorado Rockies

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Los Angeles Dodgers

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to host the Colorado Rockies on September 10, 2025, the stakes couldn’t be clearer. The Dodgers are sitting strong in the playoff hunt with an impressive record of 81-64, while the Rockies are struggling at 40-105. In their last matchup, Los Angeles triumphed over Colorado, showcasing their dominance in this National League West series.

Scheduled to start for the Dodgers is Blake Snell, who, despite a modest 3-4 record this year and being ranked 26th among MLB starters, presents a solid option with a great ERA of 3.19. Snell’s ability to strike out batters is a key weapon; he projects to whiff 7.4 hitters on average in this game. However, his tendency to allow walks—11.4% this season—could be less of a concern against a Rockies offense that ranks as the least patient in baseball, drawing the fewest walks.

Kyle Freeland, taking the mound for Colorado, has seen better days. With a 4-14 record and an ERA of 5.10, he’s struggled significantly, ranking poorly among MLB pitchers this season. The projections indicate he may allow an average of 3.4 earned runs while striking out just 3.4 batters, which translates to an uphill battle against a Dodgers offense that’s ranked 3rd in MLB.

With the Dodgers coming off a strong performance and facing a Rockies team that has struggled to generate offense, they are heavy favorites, sitting at a moneyline of -335 with an implied team total of 5.46 runs. Expect the Dodgers to exploit their offensive strengths while riding the momentum from this critical series matchup.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Kyle Freeland’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (60.2% compared to 55.2% last year) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
  Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .282 figure is a good deal higher than his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Hunter Goodman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Blake Snell – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Blake Snell’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this season (94.6 mph) below where it was last season (95.8 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Enrique Hernandez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Enrique Hernandez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-330)
  The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+15.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 69 away games (+17.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jordan Beck – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+130/-170)
  Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)