San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles
(+105/-125)+100
As the Baltimore Orioles host the San Francisco Giants on September 17, 2024, both teams are looking to bounce back from recent losses. The Orioles, currently sitting at 84-66, are enjoying a strong season, while the Giants, with a record of 72-78, are struggling to find their footing. This game marks the first in a series between the two clubs, and both teams will be eager to set the tone.
In their last outings, the Orioles fell to the Detroit Tigers 4-2, while the Giants lost a close contest to the San Diego Padres, 4-3. Notably, both teams have been engaged in tight contests lately, as indicated by their recent Moneyline prices and implied win probabilities. The Orioles are projected to start right-hander Albert Suarez, who has had a decent season with an ERA of 3.39. However, his advanced stats suggest he may have been a bit lucky, as his xFIP stands at 4.54, indicating potential struggles ahead. On the other hand, the Giants will counter with Blake Snell, a highly regarded left-handed pitcher ranked 19th best in MLB. Snell’s ERA of 3.52 and lower xERA of 2.76 suggest he has been somewhat unlucky and could be poised for a strong performance.
Offensively, the Orioles rank 5th in MLB, showcasing their power with the 2nd most home runs this season. Gunnar Henderson has been their standout hitter, recording 37 home runs and a solid OPS of .910. The Giants, conversely, rank 21st in MLB, struggling to produce runs consistently; their best hitter, Matt Chapman, has managed just 24 home runs this season.
According to the leading MLB projection system, the Orioles are considered underdogs with a low implied team total of 3.66 runs. However, with their strong offensive capabilities and Snell’s favorable matchup against a struggling Giants lineup, the Orioles have a good chance to defy expectations in this matchup.
Betting Trends
- Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+6.29 Units / 8% ROI)
- Jerar Encarnacion – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+110/-140)Jerar Encarnacion has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)