Explore Player Props Preview for Dodgers vs Giants – 7/13/25

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

San Francisco Giants

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 13, 2025, the stakes are high in this National League West matchup. The Giants, currently at 52-44, are enjoying an above-average season, while the Dodgers lead the division with a strong 57-39 record. Last time out, the Dodgers edged out the Giants with a narrow victory, adding more pressure on San Francisco to perform in this pivotal third game of the series.

On the mound, the Giants are slated to start Robbie Ray, who has been solid this season with a 2.63 ERA and a respectable 9-3 win-loss record. However, advanced metrics suggest he might have benefitted from some good fortune, as his 3.77 xFIP indicates he could face challenges moving forward. Ray’s flyball tendencies may be a concern against the Dodgers’ powerful lineup, which has already launched 144 home runs this season, ranking 2nd in MLB.

Opposing him will be Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has been elite this year with a 2.77 ERA and an impressive ranking of 8th among all starting pitchers. While his strikeout and earned run projections for this game are reasonable, he too faces a dilemma; he has allowed a concerning number of hits and walks. The projections suggest this could even the playing field somewhat, especially given the Giants’ struggles offensively, ranking 24th in runs scored.

The Giants will venture into this game as underdogs, facing a Dodgers squad that boasts not only a superior record but a potent offense. Given the current odds and the Giants’ low implied team total of 3.49 runs, they will need to capitalize on any opportunities to turn the tide in their favor in this crucial series.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Yoshinobu Yamamoto has relied on his curveball 5.8% less often this year (17.4%) than he did last season (23.2%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+125/-160)
  Checking in at the 15th percentile for base-stealing, Freddie Freeman has paced 1 stolen bases per 600 plate appearances this year.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-140)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order profiles as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Robbie Ray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Robbie Ray’s 93-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph drop off from last year’s 94-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+145/-190)
  Andy Pages has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)