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Dive Into the Simulation and Insights for Red Sox vs Yankees Match Preview – September 14, 2024

Boston Red Sox logo

Boston Red Sox

@

New York Yankees

+165O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)
-195

As the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium on September 14, 2024, both teams find themselves in contrasting situations. The Yankees, with an impressive record of 86-62, are firmly positioned in the playoff race, while the Red Sox sit at 74-74, struggling to keep pace in the competitive American League East. The Yankees’ last outing was a thrilling contest where they secured a win, further solidifying their status as a force to be reckoned with.

On the mound, Gerrit Cole is slated to start for the Yankees. He has had a solid season with a 3.36 ERA, and his 26.9% strikeout rate makes him a difficult opponent for a Red Sox lineup that ranks 3rd in MLB for total strikeouts. Cole’s projections suggest he will pitch around 5.8 innings, allowing approximately 2.5 earned runs, and striking out 7.1 batters. Facing him will be Brayan Bello, who has been decent this season with a 4.70 ERA. However, Bello may struggle against a powerful Yankees offense that ranks 1st in MLB in home runs and 3rd overall.

The Yankees come into this game with an offensive juggernaut that projects to score around 5.14 runs, while the Red Sox are estimated to tally 4.23 runs. The projections favor the Yankees significantly, and with a current moneyline of -185, they are seen as heavy favorites. Given the Yankees’ strong performance and Cole’s strikeout capability against a high-strikeout Red Sox lineup, this matchup leans heavily in favor of New York.

Betting Trends

  • Jasson Dominguez – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+145/-190)
    Jasson Dominguez has hit the Runs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.10 Units / 14% ROI)
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