Dive Into Player Props Analysis for Marlins vs Angels – Saturday May 24, 2025

Miami Marlins

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Los Angeles Angels

On May 24, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Miami Marlins at Angel Stadium in a pivotal Interleague matchup. The Angels enter this game with a record of 25-25, maintaining an average season, while the Marlins struggle at 19-30, reflecting a disappointing year. In their previous encounter just yesterday, the Angels secured a 7-4 victory, which adds momentum to their performance heading into this matchup.

Jose Soriano is projected to take the mound for the Angels. Currently ranked as the 42nd best starting pitcher in MLB, Soriano has showcased a solid 3.57 ERA this season, although his 4.16 xERA suggests he’s been a bit fortunate in his outings. His last start on May 19 was uneventful, where he allowed 3 earned runs over 6 innings. Soriano’s projections for today’s game look promising, as he is expected to pitch around 5.9 innings while allowing just 2.1 earned runs.

On the other side, Cal Quantrill will start for the Marlins. Unfortunately for Miami, he has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this season, posting a troubling 6.37 ERA. Despite a decent outing in his last start, where he allowed just 1 earned run over 5 innings, his overall performance this season has been lackluster. The projections indicate he may struggle again, as he’s expected to pitch only 4.8 innings while allowing 3.1 earned runs.

While the Angels’ offense ranks 20th in MLB, they have the 3rd best home run total, which could exploit Miami’s pitching woes. With an implied team total of 4.93 runs, the Angels appear well-positioned to capitalize on this matchup, especially against a Marlins team that has faced challenges all season. Bettors might lean heavily on Los Angeles to extend their winning streak today.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Cal Quantrill – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Cal Quantrill’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this year (92.5 mph) below where it was last year (93.8 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Matt Mervis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Matt Mervis is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#1-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  The Miami Marlins bullpen projects as the 6th-worst in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-210)
  Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Logan O’Hoppe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.27 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+490/-850)
  Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+9.80 Units / 245% ROI)