Discover the White Sox vs Yankees Head-to-Head Preview and Score Prediction – Tuesday, September 23rd, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees prepare to face off against the Chicago White Sox on September 23, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, the stakes are clear. The Yankees, currently sitting at 88-68, are enjoying a strong season and boast the 1st best offense in MLB, while the White Sox are struggling with a dismal 58-98 record, ranking 28th overall.

In their last outing, the Yankees continued their impressive form, with their best hitter contributing significantly, showcasing an impressive .444 batting average over the past week. Meanwhile, the White Sox’s struggles persist, as they rank 28th in offensive production, highlighting their challenges at the plate.

On the mound, Luis Gil is projected to start for the Yankees. Despite being ranked 181st among MLB starters, Gil has shown flashes of brilliance this season with a 4-1 record and a solid 3.33 ERA. However, his 5.54 xFIP suggests he may have been a bit fortunate, and he projects to allow 2.2 earned runs over an average of 4.9 innings today. The Yankees’ elite offense should provide ample support against the White Sox’s Shane Smith, who has a 4.06 ERA and has struggled this season, projecting to allow 2.7 earned runs over 4.5 innings.

The Yankees are heavy favorites with a moneyline of -240, implying a team total of 5.43 runs, while the White Sox sit at +205 with a low team total of 3.57 runs. Given the current trends and the Yankees’ potent lineup against a struggling White Sox offense, expectations lean heavily in favor of New York. As always in baseball, anything can happen, but the odds certainly favor the Bronx Bombers in this matchup.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Shane Smith – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Shane Smith encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Kyle Teel – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Kyle Teel has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+200)
  The 3rd-worst projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

New York Yankees Insights

• Luis Gil – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Luis Gil’s 94.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.8-mph decline from last season’s 96.7-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.410) provides evidence that Ben Rice has been unlucky this year with his .354 actual wOBA.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• New York Yankees batters as a unit rank in the game for power this year when judging by their 12% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-210)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.5 (+105)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 110 games (+11.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185/-245)
  Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)