Discover the Game Location for Orioles vs Dodgers – Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Baltimore Orioles

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Los Angeles Dodgers

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to host the Baltimore Orioles on August 27, 2024, both teams find themselves in strong positions within their respective divisions. The Dodgers, boasting a record of 78-53, are contending for a top playoff seed in the National League, while the Orioles hold a solid 76-56 record in the American League. With such impressive performances this season, this Interleague matchup is sure to draw attention.

In their last outing, the Dodgers faced off against a tough opponent, but their season continues to shine. Meanwhile, the Orioles also took the field recently, but details of their last game remain unspecified. The Dodgers are projected to start right-hander Jack Flaherty, who has an impressive 3.00 ERA this season and ranks as the 38th best starting pitcher in MLB. In contrast, the Orioles are set to send lefty Cole Irvin to the mound, who has struggled this year with a 4.82 ERA and a 5.74 xERA, suggesting he’s been fortunate thus far.

The Dodgers’ offense ranks 3rd in MLB, highlighted by their power-hitting capabilities, as they lead the league in home runs. They are also facing an Orioles team whose offense, while strong at 5th in the league, may find it challenging against Flaherty’s strikeout potential. The projections indicate the Dodgers are expected to score around 6.22 runs, which significantly outpaces the Orioles’ projected 4.60 runs.

With the Dodgers favored at -190 on the moneyline, this matchup sets the stage for an exciting game, as they look to leverage their offensive strength against a struggling Irvin on the mound.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Cole Irvin – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Irvin to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (12th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  In terms of his home runs, Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year. His 33.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.8.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (+165)
  The 4th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Baltimore Orioles.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Jack Flaherty has used his slider 6% more often this year (30.8%) than he did last year (24.8%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Max Muncy is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Run Line +1.5 (-125)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 65 of their last 118 games (+19.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-170/+130)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)