Discover the Best Player Props for Phillies vs Rangers – 8/10/2025

Philadelphia Phillies

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Texas Rangers

The Texas Rangers will host the Philadelphia Phillies on August 10, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing Interleague matchup at Globe Life Field. The Rangers currently hold a record of 60-58, reflecting an average season, while the Phillies are enjoying a strong campaign at 67-49. This game marks the third in their series, and the Rangers will look to bounce back after a tough loss in their last outing.

On the mound, the Rangers are projected to start Patrick Corbin, who has struggled this season, ranking as the 282nd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Corbin’s ERA stands at 3.91, which is decent, but his projections indicate he might allow 2.9 earned runs and 5.5 hits over an average of 5.2 innings pitched today. Additionally, his tendency to walk 1.6 batters per game could be problematic against a potent Phillies lineup.

Opposing him will be Zack Wheeler, who is having an exceptional season as the 3rd best starting pitcher in MLB. With an impressive ERA of 2.64 and a solid projection of 2.1 earned runs over 5.9 innings, Wheeler presents a daunting challenge for the Rangers’ offense, which ranks 28th in MLB this season. The Rangers have struggled to generate consistent offense, reflected in their low implied team total of 3.65 runs for today’s game.

In contrast, the Phillies’ offense ranks 8th in MLB, bolstered by a strong batting average of .284. Their best hitter has been on fire recently, boasting a .500 batting average and 1.625 OPS over the last week, which could spell trouble for the Rangers. With the Rangers as underdogs at +130 and the Phillies favored at -150, the projections lean heavily toward Philadelphia, making this matchup a crucial one for Texas as they aim to turn their season around.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Out of all SPs, Zack Wheeler’s fastball spin rate of 2473 rpm is in the 88th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  As it relates to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year. His 48.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.0.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen projects as the 7th-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Texas Rangers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Patrick Corbin will average a total of 2.91 earned runs in today’s outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Wyatt Langford has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Josh Jung – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+10.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.16 Units / 14% ROI)
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-105/-125)
  Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)