
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Philadelphia Phillies
-105O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-115
(-110/-110)-115
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Shohei Ohtani’s 97.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 99th percentile out of all starting pitchers.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Over the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 23.7% to 35%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-105)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense ranks as the 2nd-best on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)Cristopher Sanchez is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Citizens Bank Park — the #6 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Alec Bohm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Alec Bohm has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Philadelphia Phillies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen grades out as the 6th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 107 games (+17.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Harper – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+140/-185)Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 52% ROI)