Discover Current Player Trends for D-Backs vs Athletics – Saturday August 02, 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Athletics

On August 2, 2025, the Oakland Athletics will host the Arizona Diamondbacks for the second game in their interleague series at Sutter Health Park. Both teams have struggled this season, with the Athletics holding a record of 49-63 and the Diamondbacks at 51-59, indicating below-average performances. The stakes may not be high in terms of playoff contention, but the Athletics’ strong offense currently ranks 7th in MLB, showcasing a significant advantage against a lackluster Diamondbacks bullpen ranked 25th.

In yesterday’s matchup, the Athletics showcased their power, led by their best hitter, who has been on a recent hot streak with a .316 batting average and a robust 1.192 OPS over the last week. As the game unfolds, J.T. Ginn, projected to start for Oakland, will look to build on his solid showing this year, sporting a 3.89 ERA and ranking 52nd among MLB starters. Ginn has been somewhat unlucky, with a 3.10 xFIP suggesting he could improve upon his numbers moving forward.

Conversely, Zac Gallen, expected to take the mound for Arizona, has struggled significantly, posting a 5.60 ERA this season. Gallen has pitched 22 games but holds a disappointing 7-12 record, indicating issues with consistency. His projections show he’s likely to allow 3.2 earned runs and 5.7 hits today, which may play into the Athletics’ advantage, especially given their high team total of 5.00 runs.

With both teams fighting for some semblance of pride, bettors should keep an eye on this matchup. The Athletics’ solid offensive capabilities and Ginn’s favorable projections hint that they may outperform the current betting odds. This game could be a prime opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a potential upset in a close contest.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Zac Gallen – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Zac Gallen has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 4.1 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Ketel Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Arizona Diamondbacks hitters as a unit have been among the best in MLB this year (7th-) when it comes to their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Athletics Insights

• J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  J.T. Ginn’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (54.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Despite posting a .431 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has experienced some positive variance given the .084 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  In today’s game, Luis Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.6% rate (94th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+7.27 Units / 7% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+310/-450)
  Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)