Discover Current Player Trends for Blue Jays vs Phillies – Saturday June 14, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays

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Philadelphia Phillies

On June 14, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies will host the Toronto Blue Jays in the second game of their interleague series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies look to build on their recent momentum after a commanding 8-0 victory against the Blue Jays the day before. With a record of 40-29, the Phillies have been performing well and currently sit in contention for a strong postseason position.

Philadelphia will send Cristopher Sanchez to the mound, who has been one of the standout pitchers in MLB this season, boasting an elite Power Ranking of 15th among starting pitchers. Sanchez has started 13 games, compiling a 5-2 record with a solid 3.10 ERA. In his last outing on June 8, Sanchez pitched 7 innings, allowing only 2 earned runs while striking out 9 batters. Today’s matchup will test his skills against a Blue Jays lineup that has been known for being difficult to strike out.

Bowden Francis takes the ball for Toronto, and the projections indicate he has struggled this year, sitting with a disappointing 2-8 record and a 6.12 ERA. Francis also had a rough outing in his last start, lasting just 3 innings and giving up 4 earned runs. With the Blue Jays sitting at 38-31, their position reflects a good season, but they will need to improve offensively to keep pace with the Phillies.

The Phillies’ offense ranks 8th overall in MLB, highlighted by their 6th rank in stolen bases, while the Blue Jays, at 10th, have a robust batting average but rank only 17th in home runs. Given Sanchez’s high strikeout rate against a low-strikeout Blue Jays offense, the Phillies may have the edge today. Odds favor the Phillies, who have an implied team total of 4.35 runs against the Blue Jays’ 3.65, suggesting a strong performance could be on the horizon.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Bowden Francis – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Tallying 13.9 outs per GS this year on average, Bowden Francis falls in the 14th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Alejandro Kirk has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 96.8-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have 9 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.7) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year with his 42.0 actual HR/600.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-190)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 64 games (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ernie Clement – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-3000)
  Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units / 175% ROI)