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Cubs vs Rockies Game Highlights – Friday, September 13, 2024

Chicago Cubs logo

Chicago Cubs

@

Colorado Rockies

-145O/U: 10.5
(-120/+100)
+125

As the Chicago Cubs visit Coors Field to face the Colorado Rockies on September 13, 2024, both teams look to improve after mixed results in their recent outings. The Cubs, currently 75-71, are having an average season and are positioned in the middle of the race for Wild Card spots. In their last game, they fell to the Los Angeles Dodgers by a score of 10-8, while the Rockies, despite a dismal 55-92 record, managed a surprising victory over the Detroit Tigers, winning 4-2.

This matchup features two struggling pitchers: the Rockies’ Austin Gomber, ranked 221st among starting pitchers, and the Cubs’ Javier Assad, who also finds himself near the bottom of the rankings. Gomber has had a rough season with a 5-10 record and an average ERA of 4.50, but he did pitch a remarkable complete game on September 5, allowing just one earned run. Conversely, Assad holds a more respectable 3.14 ERA with a 7-5 record, but his expected metrics suggest he may not maintain such success for long.

Offensively, the Rockies have a subpar offense, ranking 21st in MLB, while the Cubs are slightly better at 13th. Notably, the Rockies’ best hitter, Brenton Doyle, has been consistent throughout the season, while Cody Bellinger has led the Cubs recently, boasting a strong 1.112 OPS in the last week.

The leading MLB projection system indicates that the Rockies have a solid chance to score runs today, with projections showing they could tally around 5.94 runs against a struggling Cubs bullpen, ranked 21st. With the game total set at a high 10.5 runs, bettors might find value in backing the Rockies to outscore expectations at home, especially given their recent win and the Cubs’ defensive vulnerabilities.

Chicago Cubs Insights

  • Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
    The Chicago Cubs bullpen ranks as the 10th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to record the 2nd-most runs (5.91 on average) of all teams on the slate.
    Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Betting Trends

  • Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+125)
    The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games at home (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-145)
    The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-125/-105)
    Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
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