Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Orioles vs Yankees – June 22, 2025

Baltimore Orioles

@

New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees host the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium on June 22, 2025, the stakes remain high in this American League East matchup. The Yankees, currently sitting at 44-32, are enjoying a strong season and are coming off a dominant 9-0 victory against the Orioles just a day prior. In contrast, the Orioles, with a record of 33-43, are struggling and will look to rebound from their recent defeat.

Projected starters Will Warren and Dean Kremer take the mound for their respective teams. Warren, who has had an up-and-down season with a 4-4 record and a 4.83 ERA, is ranked as the 64th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, indicating he is above average and possibly due for a better performance due to a favorable 3.04 xFIP. On the other hand, Kremer’s 6-7 record and 4.80 ERA suggest he has also faced challenges, with his FIP indicating he could improve moving forward.

The Yankees boast the 2nd best offense in MLB, highlighted by their power-hitting prowess, ranking 2nd in home runs. Their lineup’s ability to produce runs contrasts sharply with the Orioles, who sit at 21st overall and 23rd in batting average, struggling to find consistent offensive output. With the Yankees’ elite hitting and Kremer’s tendency to allow runs, they have a significant edge in this matchup.

Despite the Yankees being favored with a moneyline of -205 and an implied team total of 5.86 runs, the projections suggest they could exceed expectations, especially against a struggling Orioles team. With everything on the line, the Yankees look to capitalize on their recent success and continue their winning ways.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Dean Kremer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Dean Kremer has relied on his four-seamer 7.3% less often this season (24.8%) than he did last year (32.1%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Baltimore Orioles hitters as a group rank 9th- in the majors for power this year when using their 9.2% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-210)
  Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Ben Rice has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season’s 90-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+14.82 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.58 Units / 16% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+900/-2500)
  DJ LeMahieu has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games at home (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)