Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Orioles vs Yankees – June 22, 2025

Baltimore Orioles

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New York Yankees

On June 22, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium for the third game of their series. The Yankees currently sit at 44-32, enjoying a strong season, while the Orioles are struggling at 33-43. In their last matchup, the Yankees secured a victory, showcasing their potent offense, which ranks 3rd in MLB.

The Yankees are projected to start Will Warren, a right-handed pitcher with a 4-4 record and an ERA of 4.83. While Warren’s ERA is below average, his 3.02 xFIP suggests he has been somewhat unlucky this season, and he projects to pitch an average of 5.1 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs. His high walk rate of 9.7% could be tested against the Orioles, who have one of the lowest walk rates in the league.

On the other side, the Orioles will counter with Dean Kremer, also a right-handed pitcher. Kremer has a 6-7 record and an ERA of 4.80, with projections indicating he might allow 3.5 earned runs over 5.2 innings. Despite his control issues, Kremer’s low walk rate of 6.4% may neutralize the Yankees’ strength in drawing walks, potentially giving him an edge.

The Yankees’ offense, bolstered by their 2nd place ranking in home runs, will look to exploit Kremer’s vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, the Orioles, ranked 18th in offense, will need their best hitters to step up against a solid Yankees bullpen that ranks 4th in MLB. With a game total set at 9.5 runs, the Yankees are favorites, reflecting their superior overall performance this season.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Dean Kremer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Dean Kremer has relied on his four-seamer 7.3% less often this season (24.8%) than he did last year (32.1%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  The Baltimore Orioles bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Will Warren has compiled a 29.5% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
  Explain: One of the best indicators of future strikeouts is past strikeouts.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under Total Bases
  Ben Rice has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season’s 90-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.