Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Rockies vs Angels – Thursday August 1st, 2024

Colorado Rockies

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels and Colorado Rockies face off at Angel Stadium on August 1, 2024, both teams are seeking to improve their less-than-stellar seasons. The Angels currently sit with a record of 47-61, while the Rockies have a dismal 39-70 mark. This matchup marks the third game of the series, and the Rockies came out on top in the previous contest, winning 2-1 on July 31.

Projecting for the Angels is Carson Fulmer, who has struggled this year with a 0-2 record despite a respectable ERA of 3.77. His 4.59 xFIP suggests he may have been lucky and could face challenges moving forward. Fulmer is expected to pitch around 4.5 innings, allowing an average of 2.3 earned runs, but he has struggled with walks, averaging 1.5 per game.

On the other side, Ryan Feltner will take the mound for the Rockies, sporting a 1-10 record and a 4.99 ERA. Unlike Fulmer, Feltner’s advanced metrics indicate he may have been unlucky this season, with a 4.10 xFIP suggesting he could improve with better fortune. He is projected to pitch 5.1 innings while allowing 2.7 earned runs.

Offensively, both teams face challenges. The Angels rank 24th in MLB in offensive performance, while the Rockies sit at 16th, making them average. The Angels’ best hitter has been Zach Neto, but Nolan Schanuel has been notably hot over the last week with a .368 batting average and 1.275 OPS. In contrast, Ezequiel Tovar has led the Rockies recently, showcasing a .409 average.

According to the leading MLB projection system, the Angels are favored to win with a projected total of 4.67 runs, while the Rockies are projected for 4.42 runs. With the Angels looking to bounce back from their recent loss, this game sets up to be a closely contested affair.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+100)
  The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Ryan McMahon has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season’s 90.8-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Jake Cave – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Jake Cave has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Carson Fulmer – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-180/+140)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Carson Fulmer to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Colorado’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Mickey Moniak, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• The Los Angeles Angels have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line -1.5 (+165)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
• Brandon Drury – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 84% ROI)