Oakland Athletics
New York Mets
(-120/+100)-220
On August 14, 2024, the New York Mets will host the Oakland Athletics at Citi Field for the second game of their interleague series. The Mets, currently sitting at 61-58, are having an average season, while the Athletics are struggling with a record of 51-69. In their last matchup on August 13, the Mets faced an unexpected defeat, falling to the Athletics 9-4. This game marks an important opportunity for the Mets to rebound from that loss.
The Mets are expected to send left-handed pitcher David Peterson to the mound. Peterson has had a solid season with a 3.34 ERA and a 6-1 record over 12 starts. However, his 4.48 xFIP suggests that he might be due for a regression. He is a low-strikeout pitcher facing an Athletics lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts, which could bode well for his performance. Meanwhile, right-handed pitcher Joey Estes will take the ball for the Athletics. Estes has struggled this season, with a 4.70 ERA and projections indicating he might have a tough outing today.
The Mets’ offense ranks 11th overall in the league and leads in home runs with 132 this season. They are facing Estes, who is a high-flyball pitcher. This matchup could enable the Mets to capitalize on their power-hitting capabilities, as Estes’ tendency to allow fly balls could turn into a disadvantage.
The leading MLB projection system sees the Mets as clear favorites today, projecting a high team total of 4.98 runs. With Peterson taking the mound and the Mets looking to bounce back, they are positioned well to turn this matchup in their favor.
Oakland Athletics Insights
- The Oakland Athletics project to score the least runs of all teams on the slate, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
New York Mets Insights
- It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the New York Mets offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-120/+100)The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Oakland Athletics – Moneyline (+185)The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jesse Winker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)