Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Marlins vs Guardians – Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Miami Marlins

@

Cleveland Guardians

On August 13, 2025, the Cleveland Guardians will host the Miami Marlins in an Interleague matchup at Progressive Field. The Guardians are currently 62-56 this season, positioning themselves well above average, while the Marlins sit at 57-62, struggling for consistency. In their previous game, the Guardians earned a solid victory, showcasing their potential as they continue to build momentum.

Cleveland is projected to start Gavin Williams, who has had a commendable season with a 7-4 record and a stellar ERA of 3.17, ranking him as the 71st best starting pitcher in MLB. However, his 4.21 xFIP indicates that he may have been a bit fortunate this year. Williams is expected to pitch an average of 5.6 innings today, allowing roughly 2.5 earned runs, which speaks to both his capability and the challenges he faces.

Eury Perez is slated to take the mound for Miami. The rookie has had a solid start to his career, posting a 4-3 record and a 3.25 ERA in 11 games. However, his 4.47 xFIP suggests that he may also be overperforming. Perez is projected for just 4.7 innings today, which could put a strain on the Marlins’ bullpen, currently ranked 24th in MLB.

Cleveland’s offense ranks 27th in MLB, emphasizing their struggles at the plate this season. Still, they have managed to generate some power, ranking 19th in home runs. Meanwhile, Miami’s offense is slightly better, ranking 20th overall but has shown flashes of potential, particularly in batting average, where they rank 12th.

With the Guardians holding the edge in pitching and a chance to capitalize on Miami’s inconsistent offense, they are favored to take the win, making them an appealing option for bettors in this matchup.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  The Cleveland Guardians have 8 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Stowers’s true offensive skill to be a .333, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .050 difference between that figure and his actual .383 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Heriberto Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-130)
  The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Daniel Schneemann – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
  Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-130)
  The 5th-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Run Line -1.5 (+160)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-155/+120)
  Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)