Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Astros vs Angels – Sunday, June 22, 2025

Houston Astros

@

Los Angeles Angels

On June 22, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Houston Astros at Angel Stadium in the third game of this important American League West series. The Angels enter this matchup with a record of 37-39, indicating an average season, while the Astros stand at a solid 44-33, showcasing their good form. The Angels lost the previous game in the series, which might add pressure as they look to avoid a series sweep.

Projected starters Kyle Hendricks and Ryan Gusto both come in with challenges. Hendricks, ranked the 228th best starting pitcher in MLB, has struggled this season with a 5-6 record and an ERA of 4.79, although his xERA of 3.89 suggests he’s been somewhat unlucky. He projects to pitch an average of 5.6 innings, allowing 3.0 earned runs, but his tendency to give up 6.1 hits and 1.2 walks per outing may play into the Astros’ advantage.

On the other side, Ryan Gusto’s 4-3 record and average ERA of 4.31 don’t reflect his below-average status in the league, and he projects for just 4.7 innings pitched. With Gusto being a high-flyball pitcher (37% flyball rate) facing one of the most powerful offenses in MLB, the Angels, who have hit 110 home runs this season (ranking 3rd), may capitalize on this matchup.

Both teams bring contrasting offensive profiles; while the Astros rank 10th in overall offense and 2nd in batting average, the Angels sit at 24th overall with a poor batting average of 29th. However, the Angels have the potential for power, which could serve them well today. This matchup promises intrigue, especially with the Angels looking to gain momentum against a strong opponent.

Houston Astros Insights

• Houston Astros – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
  Ryan Gusto is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #10 HR venue in the majors today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Isaac Paredes is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#3-worst of all teams today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• The Houston Astros (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Kyle Hendricks has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged matching up with 8 same-handed batters today.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Jo Adell has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 25.7% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen profiles as the worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+100)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+16.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)
  Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)