Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Astros vs Angels – Sunday, June 22, 2025

Houston Astros

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to face the Houston Astros on June 22, 2025, they are looking to build momentum after a decisive 9-1 victory over the Astros just a day prior. This matchup marks the third game in a competitive series, with both teams eager to claim superiority.

Currently, the Angels sit at 37-39, positioning them in the middle of the pack in the American League West. The Astros, on the other hand, hold a solid 44-33 record, showcasing their competitive edge this season. With Kyle Hendricks projected to start for the Angels, there’s a mix of optimism and concern. Although he’s ranked as the 230th best starting pitcher in MLB—indicating struggles this season—Hendricks has shown flashes of brilliance, notably his previous outing where he recorded 9 strikeouts and allowed no earned runs over 6 innings.

Facing him will be Ryan Gusto, who has been deemed a below-average pitcher but turned in a commendable performance in his last start, allowing just one earned run while striking out 8 batters in 5 innings. Gusto’s high flyball rate could spell trouble; the Angels boast one of the most powerful offenses in the league, ranking 4th in home runs with 110 this season, showcasing their capability to capitalize on Gusto’s tendencies.

Betting markets are leaning towards a closely contested game, with both teams set at a moneyline of -110, suggesting an evenly matched affair. However, with the Angels’ ability to hit home runs and Gusto’s propensity for allowing them, it might just tilt in favor of Los Angeles today.

Houston Astros Insights

• Houston Astros – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  Ryan Gusto is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #10 HR venue in the majors today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Victor Caratini – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Extreme flyball bats like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Compared to their .323 overall projected rate, the .310 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected offense in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Kyle Hendricks has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged matching up with 6 same-handed batters today.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  Luis Rengifo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen profiles as the worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-150)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+16.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-175)
  Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)