
Texas Rangers
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Seattle Mariners
+110O/U: 7.5
(-105/-115)-130
(-105/-115)-130
Texas Rangers Insights
- Cal Quantrill – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)Cal Quantrill has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jake Burger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Jake Burger has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- The 7.6% Barrel% of the Texas Rangers makes them the #21 group of hitters in baseball this year by this stat.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Bryce Miller’s 95.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.2-mph rise from last year’s 94.2-mph mark.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
- Cole Young – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)Cole Young’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 79.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105/-115)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105/-115)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-155)J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
