Best Player Prop Bets for Rockies vs Braves – Saturday, June 14th, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Atlanta Braves

As the Atlanta Braves prepare to face the Colorado Rockies on June 14, 2025, both teams find themselves struggling this season, with the Braves sitting at 30-38 and the Rockies at a dismal 13-56. Last night, the Braves took the first game of the series, a crucial victory that provided a much-needed boost to their morale.

Spencer Strider, projected to start for Atlanta, has had a tough year with a 0-5 record and a 5.40 ERA. However, his 4.35 SIERA suggests he might be due for better fortune, especially against a Rockies lineup that ranks as the 29th best offense in MLB. Strider’s ability to strike out 8.6 batters on average today, combined with the Rockies’ low power output (just 60 home runs this season, ranking 30th), gives him a favorable matchup.

On the other hand, Chase Dollander is expected to take the mound for Colorado. With a 2-6 record and a staggering 6.85 ERA, he has struggled significantly this season. The projections indicate that he will pitch only 4.6 innings today, allowing an average of 3.0 earned runs, which could spell trouble against a Braves offense that, while average overall, has the potential to capitalize on his mistakes.

The Braves’ bullpen ranks 19th in MLB, while the Rockies’ bullpen is rated slightly better at 16th. This matchup could be critical as both teams look to gain momentum. The Braves have a high implied team total of 5.41 runs, and with Strider on the mound, they could continue to build on their recent success.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+240)
  Chase Dollander is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #24 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Sam Hilliard – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Sam Hilliard has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)
  Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Spencer Strider – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Spencer Strider will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Matt Olson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Matt Olson has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-340)
  The Atlanta Braves projected batting order profiles as the 5th-best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
  Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)