Game Forecast: Nationals vs Mets Match Preview – 9/17/24

Washington Nationals

@

New York Mets

As the New York Mets and Washington Nationals face off on September 17, 2024, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the National League East. The Mets currently hold a record of 82-68, reflecting an above-average season, while the Nationals sit at 68-82, having struggled throughout the year. The Mets are not in contention for the division title, but they still have a chance at a Wild Card spot.

In their last game, the Mets played the Nationals and came away with a victory, which adds momentum as they enter this matchup. Tylor Megill is projected to take the mound for New York, and while his 3-5 record and 4.48 ERA indicate an average season, his 3.93 xFIP suggests he has been a bit unlucky and could improve. He will be facing Mitchell Parker, who has had a challenging year with a 7-9 record and a 4.24 ERA, which is above average, but his overall performance has been below par.

The Mets’ offense ranks 11th in MLB, bolstered by their 5th place ranking in home runs, indicating a potent lineup ready to capitalize on Parker’s weaknesses. In contrast, the Nationals’ offense has struggled, ranking 22nd overall and a dismal 29th in home runs. This stark contrast highlights a potential advantage for the Mets, especially given that Parker is projected to pitch only 4.8 innings today, which is below average.

According to the leading MLB projection system, the Mets are favored to win, with projections indicating they will score around 4.41 runs, while the Nationals are expected to struggle, projected for just 3.69 runs. With the Mets’ solid offensive capabilities and a favorable pitching matchup, they appear poised to secure another victory against the Nationals.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Moneyline (-170)
  The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 96 games (+16.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• Washington Nationals – Run Line +1.5 (-145)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 77 of their last 137 games (+8.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• Jose Tena – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-120/-110)
  Jose Tena has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)