
Toronto Blue Jays
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Athletics
-160O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)+135
(+100/-120)+135
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)With 6 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Michael Lorenzen should benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Charles McAdoo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)Charles McAdoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – Moneyline (+135)The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Lawrence Butler has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 96-mph in the past two weeks.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (-105)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alika Williams – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Alika Williams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
