Dodgers vs D-Backs Insights and Game Breakdown – 8/09/2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+165/-215)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shohei Ohtani as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Compared to the average pitcher, Eduardo Rodriguez has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 4.4 adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Ildemaro Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Justin Wrobleski.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Tyler Locklear – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+275/-390)
  In today’s matchup, Tyler Locklear is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (79th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+125)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+105/-135)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 47% ROI)