
Boston Red Sox
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+140O/U: 9
(-105/-115)-165
(-105/-115)-165
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Jake Bennett – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jake Bennett has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Connor Wong – Over/Under Total BasesConnor Wong has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 100.5-mph over the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Boston Red Sox have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 12.3° figure is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (#28 overall).Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)Emmet Sheehan’s 93.8-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.2-mph drop off from last year’s 95-mph figure.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+140)The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 24 games (+18.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+100/-130)Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
