Team Stats and Insights for Rockies vs Giants Match Preview – 7/10/2026

Colorado Rockies

@

San Francisco Giants

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Tanner Gordon – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Due to his reverse platoon split, Tanner Gordon will be in a good position squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in this outing.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Willi Castro – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Willi Castro is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  The Colorado Rockies bullpen grades out as the worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Rafael Devers is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.