Game Breakdown: D-Backs vs Dodgers Team Stats and Insights - July 10, 2026

+215O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-255

Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
Eduardo Rodriguez has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 4.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 6th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently when it comes to his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#3-best of all teams today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+165/-215)
Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)

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