
Chicago Cubs
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Colorado Rockies
-150O/U: 12.5
(-110/-110)+125
(-110/-110)+125
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-150)Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+120/-150)Nico Hoerner is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-150)The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers today.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- T.J. Rumfield – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)T.J. Rumfield has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 81.8-mph over the past two weeks.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen ranks as the 2nd-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-145)Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
