
Tampa Bay Rays
@

New York Yankees
+115O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-135
(+100/-120)-135
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #4 HR venue among all stadiums — in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Taylor Walls – Over/Under Total BasesThere has been a decrease in Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity this year, from 86.4 mph last year to 81.6 mph nowExplain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Tampa Bay Rays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)With 7 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Ryan Weathers will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Aaron Judge is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#2-best of the day).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+205/-280)Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
