
Colorado Rockies
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Philadelphia Phillies
+250O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-295
(-110/-110)-295
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Tomoyuki Sugano’s 2433-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 84th percentile out of all SPs.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Brett Sullivan – Over/Under Total BasesExtreme flyball bats like Brett Sullivan tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Because flyball hitters hold a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this outing squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano has a pitch-to-contact profile (17th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
