Team Stats and Insights for Astros vs Orioles Match Preview – 4/28/2026

Houston Astros

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Baltimore Orioles

Houston Astros Insights

• Kai-Wei Teng – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kai-Wei Teng in the 76th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Yordan Alvarez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+175/-230)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yordan Alvarez as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Jose Altuve – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
  Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-140)
  The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-165)
  Coby Mayo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)