Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Dodgers vs D-Backs – Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Arizona Diamondbacks

As the Arizona Diamondbacks host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 24, 2025, the stakes are indeed interesting. While the Dodgers currently stand at 88-69, enjoying a solid season, the Diamondbacks trail with an 80-77 record in what has been an average campaign. This matchup holds significance, not just because it’s a National League West showdown, but also as both teams jockey for positioning down the stretch of the season.

In their previous encounter, the Dodgers bested the Diamondbacks in an intense game, but today presents a new opportunity for Arizona. Ryne Nelson, the D-Backs’ projected starter, has had a solid year with a 7-3 record and a commendable ERA of 3.34. However, advanced metrics suggest he might be due for a regression, as his 4.14 xFIP implies a heightened level of luck in his performance. Nelson is expected to pitch approximately 5.2 innings and is projected to allow 2.8 earned runs, which could be an issue against a high-octane Dodgers lineup.

Blake Snell counters for Los Angeles, a lefty who has had an elite season with a 2.44 ERA and a favorable 3.11 xFIP. Snell’s ability to limit runs will be crucial, especially as he’s projected to pitch around 5.3 innings while allowing roughly 2.6 earned runs. Given his elite status, his performance will likely dictate the pace of the game.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks rank 5th in MLB, bolstered by a strong batting average of .257, while the Dodgers sit in 2nd place overall with a ranking of .258. Despite the contrasting standings, both teams have potent offenses capable of capitalizing on mistakes. The Diamondbacks have a slight edge in home runs, ranking 7th in MLB, but the Dodgers’ offensive prowess should not be underestimated.

With the Game Total set at 8.5 runs, bettors may find the implied totals intriguing as the Diamondbacks are positioned as +130 underdogs, hinting at potential value for the home team. If Ryne Nelson can exceed expectations, this could turn into a closely contested game, reflecting the fierce rivalry that defines this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Blake Snell – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Blake Snell has relied on his change-up 6% more often this year (23.5%) than he did last year (17.5%).
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)
  Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 2nd-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+130)
  Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Corbin Carroll – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Corbin Carroll has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph figure.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games at home (+19.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+150/-195)
  Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)