Latest Player Stats for Mariners vs Orioles – Wednesday August 13, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Baltimore Orioles

On August 13, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles will host the Seattle Mariners at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup carries significance as the Mariners, currently holding a solid 67-53 record, look to build on their recent success, following a narrow 1-0 win over the Orioles in their last game. In contrast, Baltimore has struggled this season with a 53-66 record, and they will be eager to bounce back from their latest defeat.

Trevor Rogers is set to take the mound for the Orioles, and while he sports an impressive 1.44 ERA, advanced metrics suggest he may not sustain this level of performance, as his 3.65 xFIP indicates he’s been somewhat fortunate. The 123rd-ranked starter in MLB faces a daunting task against a powerful Mariners lineup, which leads the league with 171 home runs.

Logan Gilbert, the Mariners’ projected starter, is coming off a strong performance where he allowed just one earned run over five innings. With a 3.35 ERA and an excellent 2.54 xFIP, Gilbert is expected to have the advantage against a struggling Orioles offense that ranks just 22nd in the league. It’s worth noting that the Orioles have one of the worst bullpens in the league, ranked 25th in the Power Rankings, while the Mariners sit at 21st.

The projections suggest that Baltimore will struggle to put runs on the board, with an implied team total of 3.90 runs, while Seattle is projected to score around 4.60 runs. With the Orioles’ best hitter showing signs of life recently, boasting a .313 batting average over the last week, they will need all hands on deck to upset the odds against the favored Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Logan Gilbert’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.8-mph fall off from last year’s 96.6-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Cal Raleigh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  In today’s matchup, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.7% rate (100th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  Tallying 18.7 outs per start this year on average, Trevor Rogers falls in the 96th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Ryan Mountcastle – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-200/+155)
  In terms of his home runs, Ryan Mountcastle has suffered from bad luck this year. His 8.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.7.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• The Baltimore Orioles (24.9% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 113 games (+14.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-140)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-145)
  Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)