
Philadelphia Phillies

Texas Rangers
(+100/-120)+140
On August 10, 2025, the Texas Rangers will host the Philadelphia Phillies at Globe Life Field for the third game of their series. The Rangers are struggling with a record of 60-58, ranking 4th in the AL West and operating below expectations this season. They recently lost 3-2 to the Phillies, who are having a great year at 67-49 and are 2nd in the NL East.
In this matchup, the Rangers will send Patrick Corbin to the mound, while Zack Wheeler is projected to start for the Phillies. Corbin, ranked 283rd among starting pitchers, has had a rough season, highlighted by his last outing on August 4, where he lasted just 3 innings, allowing 3 earned runs and giving up 6 hits. His projections indicate an average outing, yet he often struggles with walks, projecting to allow 1.6 today.
Conversely, Wheeler is enjoying a stellar season, currently ranked 3rd among pitchers. He comes off a solid performance on August 2, pitching 6 innings with 3 earned runs and a remarkable 10 strikeouts. Projections suggest he will allow only 2.1 earned runs, showcasing his effectiveness on the mound.
Offensively, the Rangers have struggled significantly, ranking 28th in the league overall and 27th in team batting average. Their best hitter has been performing decently, with an impressive .615 batting average over the past week. The Phillies, on the other hand, boast the 8th best offense, with their star hitter posting a .500 average in the same timeframe.
With the Rangers listed as underdogs at +130 and an implied team total of just 3.42 runs, they will need a combination of Corbin exceeding expectations and their offense stepping up to compete against Wheeler and the powerful Phillies lineup.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-160)Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)As it relates to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year. His 47.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.0.Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
- Philadelphia Phillies bats jointly have been among the best in MLB this year (5th-) when it comes to their 89.8-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Texas Rangers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Patrick Corbin will average a total of 2.88 earned runs in today’s outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Wyatt Langford has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+10.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.16 Units / 14% ROI)
- Trea Turner – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-150/+115)Trea Turner has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)